Guarani de Juazeiro vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
CEA
16%
22%
63%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
5 - 0
ITA
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 2
GUA
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
TIR
4 - 0
GUA
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
ICA
18%
22%
61%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
TRA
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FER
1 - 2
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |