Guarani de Juazeiro vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
67.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
4 - 2
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
TIR
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 0
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 0
CEA
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 4
CEA
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 2
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | -1 |