Guaraní vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 4
GUA
22%
25%
54%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
TAU
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 1
XVD
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SER
2 - 4
GUA
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 2
BAT
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 2
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 2
SER
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
VOT
1 - 1
RIO
26%
24%
51%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 0
RIO
23%
23%
54%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
AUD
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |