Guaraní vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
FFL
1 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
FLU
3 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
GUA
3 - 1
CEB
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1973 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAO
33%
24%
43%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1973 |
PAY
0 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
MOT
0 - 0
AMF
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
MOT
0 - 0
COR
17%
25%
57%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
MOT
1 - 1
AME
32%
31%
36%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1973 |
MOT
0 - 2
BOT
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
MOT
0 - 1
SET
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |