Guaraní vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 0
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CAX
30%
28%
43%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BON
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 3
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
RES
1 - 0
DUQ
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |