Guaraní vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1974 |
BOT
2 - 1
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1974 |
FOR
1 - 2
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1974 |
SAO
3 - 0
GUA
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
GUA
1 - 1
GOI
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SAO
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1974 |
GRE
1 - 1
CRZ
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1974 |
CRZ
6 - 1
VIT
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1974 |
CRZ
1 - 1
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1974 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |