Guaraní A. Franco vs Sol de América Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
CFE
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
GAF
31%
30%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 0
SAR
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 1
GAF
30%
30%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
CFE
1 - 1
GAF
33%
30%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
CFE
1 - 0
SOL
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 0
SPA
42%
27%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 0
SOL
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 1
GAF
30%
30%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 2
CFE
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |