Guantánamo vs Ciego de Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guantánamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
CIE
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 2
VIL
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PIN
3 - 0
GUA
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
ISL
4 - 2
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ciego de Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CIE
4 - 1
ISL
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 0
PIN
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 2
CIE
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
CIE
0 - 0
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
CAM
6 - 0
CIE
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |