Guangzhou City vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
JIA
5 - 1
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
SHA
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
75%
16%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
TIT
4 - 3
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 3
DAL
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 2
SHE
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SHE
0 - 2
JIA
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
SHE
1 - 1
SHA
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 0
SHE
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SHE
2 - 1
TIA
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |