Guangzhou City vs Jiangsu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
5 - 1
WUZ
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SHA
0 - 3
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
QIN
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangsu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
JIA
2 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 0
JIA
57%
25%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
JIA
0 - 2
GUI
48%
26%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
JIA
1 - 2
DAL
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BEI
3 - 3
JIA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |