Guangzhou City vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
SHA
3 - 1
GUA
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
DAL
3 - 0
GUA
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 4
GUA
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 1
GUI
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
HEB
2 - 2
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 3
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 2
GUA
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
SHA
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 0
DAL
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TIA
2 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |