Chinese Super League Round 18

Guangzhou FC vs Shenzhen FC analysis

Guangzhou FC Shenzhen FC
73 ELO 66
5.8% Tilt -9.6%
20575º General ELO ranking 19522º
87º Country ELO ranking 83º
ELO win probability
70.8%
Guangzhou FC
17.8%
Draw
11.4%
Shenzhen FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
Guangzhou FC
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.4%
Win probability
Shenzhen FC
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Guangzhou FC
Shenzhen FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guangzhou FC
Guangzhou FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 1998
GUA
Guangzhou Songri
3 - 1
Guangzhou FC
GUA
45%
27%
28%
74 71 3 0
06 Aug. 1998
BEI
Beijing Guoan
1 - 0
Guangzhou FC
GUA
69%
19%
12%
74 81 7 0
02 Aug. 1998
GUA
Guangzhou FC
3 - 2
Chongqing Liangjiang
CHO
54%
23%
23%
74 74 0 0
26 Jul. 1998
GUA
Guangzhou FC
2 - 3
Sichuan FC
SIC
55%
24%
21%
74 76 2 0
07 Jun. 1998
QIN
Qingdao Hainiu
0 - 0
Guangzhou FC
GUA
38%
28%
34%
74 69 5 0

Matches

Shenzhen FC
Shenzhen FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 1998
ZHE
Bayi Xiangtan
1 - 1
Shenzhen FC
SHE
62%
22%
16%
65 72 7 0
06 Aug. 1998
SHE
Shenzhen FC
1 - 4
Dalian Shide
DAL
19%
26%
56%
66 83 17 -1
02 Aug. 1998
SHE
Shenzhen FC
0 - 1
Guangzhou Songri
GUA
47%
27%
26%
66 70 4 0
26 Jul. 1998
BEI
Beijing Guoan
5 - 0
Shenzhen FC
SHE
76%
16%
8%
67 81 14 -1
07 Jun. 1998
SHE
Shenzhen FC
1 - 1
Chongqing Liangjiang
CHO
36%
26%
38%
67 73 6 0