Chinese Super League Round 4

Guangzhou FC vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis

Guangzhou FC Shanghai Shenhua
75 ELO 77
4.2% Tilt -2.9%
21464º General ELO ranking 409º
87º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.8%
Guangzhou FC
24%
Draw
21.2%
Shanghai Shenhua

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
Guangzhou FC
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.2%
Win probability
Shanghai Shenhua
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guangzhou FC
+36%
+44%
Shanghai Shenhua

ELO progression

Guangzhou FC
Shanghai Shenhua
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guangzhou FC
Guangzhou FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 1994
DAL
Dalian Shide
2 - 1
Guangzhou FC
GUA
57%
24%
19%
76 77 1 0
01 May. 1994
GUA
Guangzhou FC
3 - 1
Guangdong Hongyuan
GUA
56%
24%
20%
76 75 1 0
24 Apr. 1994
JIA
Jiangsu FC
0 - 0
Guangzhou FC
GUA
51%
25%
24%
76 74 2 0
17 Apr. 1994
SHA
Shandong Taishan
1 - 0
Guangzhou FC
GUA
56%
24%
20%
76 77 1 0

Matches

Shanghai Shenhua
Shanghai Shenhua
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 1994
SHA
Shandong Taishan
3 - 1
Shanghai Shenhua
SHA
55%
24%
21%
77 78 1 0
01 May. 1994
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
2 - 0
Bayi Xiangtan
ZHE
63%
22%
15%
77 73 4 0
24 Apr. 1994
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
4 - 3
Beijing Guoan
BEI
54%
25%
22%
76 77 1 +1
17 Apr. 1994
GUA
Guangzhou City
2 - 3
Shanghai Shenhua
SHA
51%
25%
24%
76 74 2 0