Guangzhou FC vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 1
JEO
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 1
HAR
84%
11%
5%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
FCY
1 - 1
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
HEN
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 2
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
HEN
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BEI
1 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
LIA
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 1
TIT
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |