Nantong Zhiyun vs Shenzhen Peng City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
16º
16º
29
8º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
BEI
5 - 2
GUA
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHI
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HAN
5 - 2
GUA
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
QIN
2 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
CHA
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 1
SHA
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
MEI
0 - 0
SJF
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
SJF
83%
13%
5%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 2
QYI
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 6
SHA
13%
22%
65%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |