Guangdong vs Xinjiang Tianshan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangdong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
QIN
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
HEB
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
CHO
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BIT
1 - 3
GUA
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
YAN
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Xinjiang Tianshan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
QIN
1 - 0
HUB
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
QIN
1 - 1
HUB
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HUB
2 - 0
CHE
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CHO
3 - 2
HUB
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HUB
2 - 0
BIT
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |