Guaraí vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEC
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GUR
0 - 0
GUA
70%
17%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 2
TOC
48%
22%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
INT
1 - 0
GUA
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 0
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 2
TOC
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
TOC
3 - 3
TOC
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GUR
0 - 2
TOC
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TOC
1 - 1
PAL
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CEC
1 - 0
TOC
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |