Apertura Paraguay Normal Season Round 10

Guaireña vs Resistencia analysis

Guaireña Resistencia
75 ELO 73
-9.9% Tilt -10.8%
1154º General ELO ranking 1424º
11º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
47.7%
Guaireña
27.3%
Draw
25%
Resistencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
Guaireña
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.1%
Win probability
Resistencia
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guaireña
-10%
+9%
Resistencia

Points and table prediction

Guaireña
Their league position
Resistencia
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
10º
17
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Libertad
51
51
100%
Cerro Porteño
41
41
100%
Sportivo Trinidense
38
38
100%
Guaraní
33
33
100%
Nacional
33
33
100%
Olimpia
31
31
100%
Sportivo Ameliano
30
30
100%
Sportivo Luqueño
27
27
100%
General Caballero JLM
24
24
100%
Guaireña
10º
17
17
10º
100%
Resistencia
11º
17
17
11º
100%
Tacuary
12º
15
15
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Guaireña
Resistencia
CONMEBOL Libertadores
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Guaireña
Resistencia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaireña
Guaireña
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2023
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 1
Guaireña
GUA
56%
24%
20%
76 79 3 0
18 Mar. 2023
GUA
Guaireña
0 - 1
Sportivo Ameliano
AME
46%
25%
29%
76 76 0 0
11 Mar. 2023
LIB
Libertad
2 - 0
Guaireña
GUA
52%
26%
23%
76 79 3 0
03 Mar. 2023
GUA
Guaireña
0 - 0
General Caballero JLM
JLM
40%
27%
34%
76 76 0 0
27 Feb. 2023
OLI
Olimpia
1 - 1
Guaireña
GUA
55%
24%
21%
76 78 2 0

Matches

Resistencia
Resistencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2023
RES
Resistencia
1 - 0
Sportivo Trinidense
SPT
35%
27%
37%
71 74 3 0
21 Mar. 2023
TAC
Tacuary
2 - 0
Resistencia
RES
43%
27%
30%
71 71 0 0
13 Mar. 2023
RES
Resistencia
0 - 1
Nacional
NAC
38%
28%
34%
72 76 4 -1
05 Mar. 2023
LQE
Sportivo Luqueño
1 - 0
Resistencia
RES
46%
26%
27%
72 72 0 0
25 Feb. 2023
CCP
Cerro Porteño
1 - 1
Resistencia
RES
53%
26%
22%
72 79 7 0