Guadamur vs Alameda de la Sagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
61.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+233%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadamur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
GUA
55%
21%
24%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 4
BTO
28%
22%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UGE
1 - 0
GUA
75%
14%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ISC
3 - 0
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 1
VSJ
54%
20%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alameda de la Sagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 1
CTI
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 4
ASA
13%
16%
71%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 5
ASA
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ASA
3 - 2
BTO
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
UGE
1 - 1
ASA
68%
16%
16%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |