Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
VER
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
PUE
40%
29%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PUM
1 - 0
CHI
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
MON
36%
28%
37%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AME
1 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VER
3 - 2
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
ALE
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 2
QRO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 1
TIJ
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |