Ambrosiana vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 0
GSD
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GSD
1 - 0
CAR
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 0
GSD
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GSD
1 - 0
CAM
33%
23%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CLO
1 - 1
GSD
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CTT
6 - 0
TRE
93%
7%
1%
|
19 | 71 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TRE
0 - 1
BEL
39%
25%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
TRE
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
TRE
0 - 1
TAM
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
TRE
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |