Ambrosiana vs AC Este analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 0
GSD
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
GSD
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GSD
0 - 3
UAR
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GSD
3 - 3
UAR
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ACE
2 - 2
GSD
35%
25%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ACE
0 - 2
CLO
24%
24%
53%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 1
ACE
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACE
1 - 4
CAM
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
DEL
5 - 1
ACE
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ACE
2 - 2
GSD
35%
25%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |