G. Caliche vs Murada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
G. Caliche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 2
BOR
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CLU
0 - 6
GRU
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BIG
4 - 1
GRU
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GRU
4 - 2
BEN
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 4
GRU
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
RAC
38%
23%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 4
MUR
45%
23%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CLU
3 - 3
MUR
36%
23%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
RAC
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MON
3 - 2
MUR
35%
24%
42%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |