Grünstern vs Gumefens / Sorens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
GRU
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 1
STA
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BUL
4 - 0
GRU
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 0
BUM
31%
22%
48%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GRU
2 - 0
POR
53%
22%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gumefens / Sorens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GUM
1 - 2
FAR
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
OST
3 - 2
GUM
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GUM
0 - 2
TPA
36%
23%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LYS
0 - 2
GUM
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
GUM
0 - 2
THI
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |