Grün-Weiß Micheldorf vs Union Edelweiß analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
12º
12º
50
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
69% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SVZ
0 - 5
GRU
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRU
2 - 0
SVW
45%
22%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PWD
1 - 8
GRU
55%
21%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
GRU
1 - 2
OED
24%
21%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
UMA
1 - 1
GRU
46%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Union Edelweiß
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 3
SPG
57%
22%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 3
UNI
38%
23%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
OST
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UNP
0 - 1
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 3
STM
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |