Grün-Weiß Micheldorf vs Union Dietach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
44.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
12º
12º
49
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
69% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
OED
1 - 0
GRU
79%
13%
7%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
GRU
0 - 1
UMA
49%
21%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 2
GRU
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
GRU
1 - 3
WEA
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FRI
2 - 0
GRU
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Union Dietach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PWD
3 - 0
SPG
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 4
PWD
20%
18%
62%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
PWD
0 - 0
OST
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
UNP
0 - 3
PWD
30%
22%
49%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PWD
2 - 0
STM
35%
21%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +3 |