Groupe Bazano vs Etoile de Kivu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
18.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GBA
0 - 0
SAN
42%
29%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
GBA
4 - 0
SIM
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
GBA
2 - 3
TSH
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
GBA
2 - 0
BFC
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
ASK
2 - 2
GBA
42%
30%
28%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile de Kivu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DBL
1 - 0
KIV
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 0
KIV
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
KIV
1 - 0
JSK
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
KIV
58%
24%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
KIV
1 - 1
USP
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |