Grorud IL vs Asker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
12º
5º
13
7º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 51 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 49 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 48 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 47 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 44 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 40 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 37 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 28 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 25 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 21 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 78% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ALT
1 - 2
GRO
28%
23%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 2
ULL
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
STB
1 - 0
GRO
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 2
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
GRO
20%
22%
59%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Asker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
STR
5 - 0
ASK
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ASK
0 - 3
STB
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
ULL
3 - 2
ASK
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ASK
2 - 3
STR
58%
20%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ALT
3 - 4
ASK
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |