Grodnensky vs Neman Mosty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
47.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
12º
14º
24
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grodnensky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 1
GRO
72%
15%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CHZ
2 - 3
GRO
47%
21%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SVA
5 - 0
GRO
75%
14%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NEB
6 - 0
GRO
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 1
FKS
19%
18%
63%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Neman Mosty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 1
SLC
42%
21%
37%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CHZ
1 - 4
NEM
38%
21%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SVA
1 - 5
NEM
75%
14%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 1
NEB
15%
16%
69%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 2
NEM
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |