Grimsby Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
GRI
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
GRI
1 - 4
EXE
17%
24%
60%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 2
GRI
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TRA
5 - 0
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
HUL
3 - 0
GRI
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 1
MOR
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 1
NEW
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
NEW
3 - 0
SAL
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 1
WAL
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |