Grimsby Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
GRI
31%
26%
42%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GRI
0 - 2
CRE
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 2
GRI
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 2
GRI
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
5 - 2
GRI
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAM
36%
28%
37%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DON
2 - 0
NEW
64%
21%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
CHE
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
PLY
4 - 1
NEW
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |