Denmark Fourth Division Round 11

Greve IF vs Karlslunde analysis

Greve IF Karlslunde
40 ELO 45
-0.4% Tilt -2.9%
21639º General ELO ranking 36214º
238º Country ELO ranking 435º
ELO win probability
33.9%
Greve IF
24.4%
Draw
41.7%
Karlslunde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
Greve IF
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.7%
Win probability
Karlslunde
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greve IF
-14%
-27%
Karlslunde

Points and table prediction

Greve IF
Their league position
Karlslunde
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
36
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brønshøj
38
38
100%
Holbæk
36
36
100%
Karlslunde
36
36
100%
Tårnby FF
29
29
100%
Greve IF
27
27
100%
KFUM Roskilde
24
24
100%
Gorslev
18
18
100%
GVI
14
14
100%
B 1908
13
13
100%
Herstedøster
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Greve IF
Karlslunde
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Greve IF
Karlslunde
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greve IF
Greve IF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2022
B19
B 1908
0 - 3
Greve IF
GRE
28%
23%
49%
39 30 9 0
24 Sep. 2022
GVI
GVI
1 - 1
Greve IF
GRE
34%
24%
43%
39 34 5 0
17 Sep. 2022
GRE
Greve IF
0 - 0
Tårnby FF
TAR
56%
21%
23%
39 37 2 0
09 Sep. 2022
HER
Herstedøster
1 - 6
Greve IF
GRE
24%
21%
56%
38 27 11 +1
02 Sep. 2022
GRE
Greve IF
2 - 0
Gorslev
GSL
57%
20%
23%
37 34 3 +1

Matches

Karlslunde
Karlslunde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2022
KAR
Karlslunde
0 - 5
Brønshøj
BRØ
54%
22%
23%
46 42 4 0
24 Sep. 2022
KAR
Karlslunde
2 - 2
Holbæk
HOL
48%
23%
28%
46 44 2 0
17 Sep. 2022
KFU
KFUM Roskilde
1 - 2
Karlslunde
KAR
24%
23%
53%
45 36 9 +1
10 Sep. 2022
B19
B 1908
0 - 1
Karlslunde
KAR
19%
22%
59%
45 33 12 0
06 Sep. 2022
BAL
Ballerup-Skovlunde
1 - 0
Karlslunde
KAR
14%
20%
66%
46 33 13 -1