Denmark Fourth Division Round 3

Greve IF vs Holbæk B&I analysis

Greve IF Holbæk B&I
37 ELO 40
4.1% Tilt -5.7%
22285º General ELO ranking 3483º
237º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
33.6%
Greve IF
22.4%
Draw
44%
Holbæk B&I

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
Greve IF
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
44%
Win probability
Holbæk B&I
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greve IF
-16%
+51%
Holbæk B&I

Points and table prediction

Greve IF
Their league position
Holbæk B&I
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
36
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brønshøj
38
38
100%
Holbæk B&I
36
36
100%
Karlslunde
36
36
100%
Tårnby FF
29
29
100%
Greve IF
27
27
100%
KFUM Roskilde
24
24
100%
Gorslev
18
18
100%
GVI
14
14
100%
B 1908
13
13
100%
Herstedøster
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Greve IF
Holbæk B&I
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Greve IF
Holbæk B&I
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greve IF
Greve IF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2022
KAR
Karlslunde
1 - 0
Greve IF
GRE
63%
21%
16%
37 44 7 0
06 Aug. 2022
GRE
Greve IF
3 - 3
B 1908
B19
58%
21%
21%
37 34 3 0
30 Jul. 2022
VAN
Vanløse
4 - 3
Greve IF
GRE
60%
23%
17%
37 48 11 0
18 Jun. 2022
GRE
Greve IF
0 - 2
Herstedøster
HER
76%
14%
10%
38 25 13 -1
11 Jun. 2022
IIF
Ishøj
2 - 2
Greve IF
GRE
71%
17%
12%
37 44 7 +1

Matches

Holbæk B&I
Holbæk B&I
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2022
HOL
Holbæk B&I
1 - 1
Brønshøj
BRØ
46%
24%
31%
40 40 0 0
06 Aug. 2022
KFU
KFUM Roskilde
1 - 1
Holbæk B&I
HOL
32%
22%
46%
40 35 5 0
30 Jul. 2022
FRE
Frem 1886
3 - 1
Holbæk B&I
HOL
74%
16%
11%
40 56 16 0
26 Jul. 2022
HOL
Holbæk B&I
1 - 1
Vanløse
VAN
30%
25%
46%
40 48 8 0
23 Jul. 2022
HOL
Holbæk B&I
1 - 4
Roskilde
ROS
8%
14%
79%
40 61 21 0