Greuther Fürth vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
AUG
0 - 0
SGF
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1977 |
SGF
2 - 0
DAR
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
WUR
0 - 1
SGF
32%
27%
40%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1977 |
SGF
6 - 2
FRE
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1977 |
BAY
3 - 1
SGF
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
HOM
1 - 0
BUR
82%
13%
6%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1977 |
BAY
2 - 0
HOM
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
HOM
3 - 0
SCH
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
HOM
3 - 0
EIN
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1977 |
SVS
0 - 1
HOM
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |