Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
SSV
1 - 2
SGF
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SGF
1 - 2
BOC
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
HAN
2 - 2
SGF
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
SGF
2 - 1
HOL
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
HSV
0 - 0
SGF
50%
24%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 1
OSN
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
F95
3 - 1
FCN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 0
EBT
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
KSC
0 - 1
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 2
STP
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |