Greuther Fürth vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
SGF
4 - 1
HAN
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 1
SGF
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
RTV
3 - 0
SGF
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
WEH
2 - 2
SGF
17%
20%
63%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
FCU
1 - 1
SGF
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
SCF
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 4
RTV
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 3
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DAR
0 - 0
MON
14%
21%
66%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
F95
2 - 0
MON
13%
20%
67%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |