Greuther Fürth vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
PAD
1 - 0
SGF
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SGF
0 - 1
MSV
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SGF
4 - 5
AUG
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 1
SGF
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
SGF
1 - 0
STU
26%
23%
52%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
AAA
0 - 2
RWA
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TUS
1 - 0
AAA
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 0
ROS
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
AUG
0 - 1
AAA
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 4
FCU
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |