Greuther Fürth vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
FCN
2 - 1
SGF
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SGF
1 - 1
MSV
57%
23%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
FSV
1 - 2
SGF
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SGF
0 - 2
STP
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SGF
1 - 2
KSC
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
FCU
2 - 1
KSC
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
RBL
3 - 0
FCU
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FCU
3 - 0
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
KAI
2 - 2
FCU
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FCU
5 - 0
SVA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |