Greuther Fürth U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
78.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
10º
10º
46
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
AUG
2 - 2
GRE
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
SDH
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
STU
1 - 4
GRE
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
KAR
1 - 1
GRE
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
MAI
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MAI
3 - 2
KAI
90%
7%
3%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ING
0 - 0
MAI
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 2
NUR
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MAI
5 - 1
AUG
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
MAI
11%
16%
74%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |