Regionalliga Bayern Round 16

Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II analysis

Greuther Fürth II Nürnberg II
37 ELO 47
0.7% Tilt -0.6%
2127º General ELO ranking 2342º
91º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
23.3%
Greuther Fürth II
22.5%
Draw
54.2%
Nürnberg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth II
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.2%
Win probability
Nürnberg II
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greuther Fürth II
+11%
+9%
Nürnberg II

ELO progression

Greuther Fürth II
Nürnberg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greuther Fürth II
Greuther Fürth II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2017
VRG
VfR Garching
0 - 1
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
63%
20%
17%
37 44 7 0
03 Oct. 2017
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
1 - 2
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
21%
23%
57%
38 49 11 -1
30 Sep. 2017
SEL
Seligenporten
3 - 1
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
37%
24%
39%
40 36 4 -2
25 Sep. 2017
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
1 - 1
Illertissen
ILL
30%
25%
45%
39 47 8 +1
19 Sep. 2017
ROS
Rosenheim
4 - 1
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
54%
23%
23%
41 46 5 -2

Matches

Nürnberg II
Nürnberg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2017
NUR
Nürnberg II
2 - 0
Memmingen
MEM
65%
19%
16%
46 40 6 0
03 Oct. 2017
VRG
VfR Garching
1 - 2
Nürnberg II
NUR
42%
23%
35%
45 45 0 +1
29 Sep. 2017
NUR
Nürnberg II
3 - 2
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
55%
21%
24%
45 42 3 0
23 Sep. 2017
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
2 - 1
Nürnberg II
NUR
45%
23%
32%
46 47 1 -1
13 Sep. 2017
NUR
Nürnberg II
1 - 2
Bayern München II
BAY
37%
23%
40%
47 51 4 -1