Gretna vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 2
ICT
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
STM
2 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 3
CEL
22%
23%
54%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ABE
3 - 0
GRE
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 3
DUN
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
HIB
2 - 0
STM
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
STM
2 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 1
STM
66%
22%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
STM
1 - 3
STJ
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |