Gretna vs Albion Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 1
STR
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
PET
2 - 0
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 1
QUE
67%
19%
13%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 5
ICT
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
MON
0 - 1
GRE
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ALB
3 - 1
QUE
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
CWB
1 - 4
ALB
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
4 - 2
ALB
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ALB
1 - 1
STR
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
ALB
1 - 0
EAS
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |