Gresley vs Rugby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
BUR
12%
23%
66%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 3
LOU
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DAV
0 - 7
GRE
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
BEL
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
RFC
3 - 1
GRE
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Rugby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RUG
1 - 2
SLA
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 1
RUG
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
RUG
47%
23%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
COA
5 - 4
RUG
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
RUG
2 - 0
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |