Gresley vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 3
STA
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 2
COA
26%
23%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
MIC
0 - 4
GRE
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 4
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
ROM
77%
15%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
HAL
5 - 0
ROM
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 1
SUT
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ROM
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
LEE
5 - 1
ROM
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |