Gresley vs Quorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
SEL
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
LON
17%
19%
65%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ECF
1 - 3
GRE
11%
16%
73%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 0
NEF
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PIU
1 - 5
GRE
5%
12%
83%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
QUO
4 - 4
BOS
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 2
QUO
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
QUO
3 - 1
HEA
51%
21%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
QUO
2 - 2
ECF
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 4
QUO
48%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |