Gresley vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
51.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 1
GRE
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 2
WIS
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 3
CLE
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
SPA
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 2
GRE
31%
24%
46%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FRI
2 - 3
PON
46%
21%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PON
4 - 2
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
PON
3 - 0
SPA
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PON
3 - 0
CLE
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
PON
65%
18%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |