Gresley vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BRI
3 - 3
GRE
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
5 - 2
HUC
81%
12%
6%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ROM
0 - 2
GRE
30%
25%
46%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
MIC
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
KIN
27%
25%
49%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
STA
1 - 2
CHA
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 0
RAI
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
CHA
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
BRI
46%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |