Gresley vs Boston Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 5
GRE
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
DEE
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 1
ANN
21%
20%
60%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
QUO
1 - 2
GRE
21%
21%
57%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 4
GRE
16%
18%
66%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Boston Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 0
SEL
86%
9%
4%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
NEF
2 - 5
BOS
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PIU
1 - 3
BOS
7%
13%
80%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 1
LOU
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 3
ANN
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |