Liga Brasileña Sub 17 Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Grêmio U17 vs Santos U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 2
GRE
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
29%
24%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
5 - 3
ATH
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
ATL
72%
16%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Santos U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 0
FOR
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 2
SAN
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
46%
21%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
ATH
3 - 1
SAN
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
6 - 1
CHA
84%
11%
6%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |