Paulista B Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
GDS
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
GDS
28%
23%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
GDS
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 0
VOC
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
GDS
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
27%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
VOC
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
UNI
39%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |