Paulista B Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
GDS
32%
25%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
25%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
GDS
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
GDS
28%
25%
46%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 0
VOC
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
GDS
32%
25%
44%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
25%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
VOC
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
UNI
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |